Just a small profit today on the horse's, but was happy as i only had one losing trade of a quid and was only trading on half or less of the races.
Looking at trading the Blackburn V's Sunderland game tonight @ 8pm as it's on sky sports.
Thought i would just give a little summary of my thought process before trading the match and figuring out what strategy i would use. First of all i use www.soccerstats.com to get an idea of how both teams are doing, mainly looking at what their home/away record is and when they score/concede the most goals. In Blackburn's case they have scored 57% of their goals between 16-30mins and have conceded 63% of their goals just after half time 46-60mins. Sunderland on the other hand have a range of goal times, but the main time they tend to concede is 76-90min (57% of their goals). This gives me an idea of the "danger" time's, even though every minute on the pitch from 10seconds in till the 90th minute is a possible danger time.
The next website i check is http://www.h2hstats.com/soccer/hhpage.php?home=BROV&away=SFC&fxdate=2010-10-18
( ^^That's a direct link to the head to head stats) I use this site just to see the average amount of goals that have been scored between the two sides in previous meetings. In the case of Blackburn and Sunderland, most of the games have either been draws or win's by 1 goal.
After doing all this i think of the best approach that i could use for this game.
Personally i am going to trade on a few correct scores and adjust my position during the game.
I was thinking of trading on the 0-0, 1-0, 0-1 for the first 15minutes as i didn't think either team would score straight from the off. So i would lay all scores off at the 15minute mark and make a tidy profit. However, I'm not a great fan of this approach as if there is an early goal you automatically lose 2/3 trades. So i think i will give it a miss tonight.
My trade: 0-0 = £4 @ 9.4
1-1 = £4 @ 7
1-2 = £3 @ 16
2-1 = £4 @ 10
2-2 = £3 @ 20 (will try get 21's)
This gives me a lot of room for manoeuvring my positions during the match if either team scores. Personally, i fancy Sunderland to nick it but we shall see!!
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